All 'costs' are prices during the sale only not before or after.
Oisin's Blessing
Cost: 8M
3 Months: 8.4M
Delta: +400k
ROI: 5%
Notes: Oisin's was down to an easy 7M with listings as low as 6M in the pre-sale panic dumping. You would have seen a 20+% yield if you had for some reason invested then.
Hocuspocus Hair
Cost: 7M
3 Months: 6.1M
Delta: -900k
ROI: Loss
Notes: The price of this item actually went up during the sale. Item was subsequently re-released in Impractical Gala and dropped to 4.5M-5M before recovering.
Blade of the Night Sky
Cost: 9.8M
3 Months: 9.8M
Delta: +/-0
ROI: Stagnant
Notes: Price of item dropped from 15 to 10M as a result of the sale and has remained stagnant since.
Her Raiding Majesty
Cost: 6M
3 Months: 4.5M
Delta: -1.5M
ROI: Loss
Notes: Price of this item went up during the sale. Ignoring the sale the price has remained stagnant over six months.
Jet the Kitten Star
Cost: 10M
3 Months: 6.5M
Delta: -3.5M
ROI: Loss
Notes: Cost of this item dropped from 20M to 10M during the sale and has kept dropping since.
Onei the Dark Unicorn
Cost: 12M
3 Months: 4.5M
Delta: -7.5M
ROI: Loss
Notes: Item dropped from 30M to 12M during the sale and has kept dropping since.
The Mad Hatter
Cost: 10M
3 Months: 9.8M
Delta: -200k
ROI: Loss
Notes: Item dropped from 15M to 10M during the sale and has dropped slightly/ stagnated since then.
Gaia-sama
Cost: 7M
3 Months: 9M
Delta: 2M
ROI: 29%
Notes: Item dropped from about 9M to 7M during the sale so return was all recovery price.
Kanoko's Dark Reflection
Cost: 3.5M
3 Months: 2.5M
Delta: -1M
ROI: Loss
Notes: This item went up in price slightly during the sale and has been dropping ever since.
Pink Dragoness
Cost: 250k
3 Months: 200k
Delta: -50k
ROI: Loss
Notes: This went up briefly possibly from AI and dropped sharply thereafter.
Nymph Adora
Cost: 150k
3 Months: 150k
Delta: +-0
ROI: 0%
Notes: This item went up possibly for Christmas but has since dropped back down.
Rainy Day
Cost: 6.5M
3 Months: 5.6M
Delta: -900k
ROI: Loss
Notes:
ICHI-maru-KYUU
Cost: 275k
3 Months: 260k
Delta: -15k
ROI: Loss
Notes: Sale did not have a substantial impact on price. Price has remained stagnant regardless.
Loathing Style
Cost: 15M
3 Months: 4M
Delta: -11M
ROI: Loss
Notes: This item went up almost 10M during the sale and has done nothing but go down since.
Frosted Affection
Cost: 600k
3 Months: 280k
Delta: -320k
ROI: Loss
Notes: This item went up 200k during the sale and has done nothing but go down since.
Xin the Lucky Dragon
Cost: 100k
3 Months: 72k
Delta: -28k
ROI: Loss
Notes: I hope no one hoarded this. I mean seriously.
The Dark Ringmaster
Cost:3.3M
3 Months: 3.3M
Delta: 0
ROI: Stagnant
Notes:
The Gravedigger's Exorcism
Cost: 4M
3 Months: 1.9M
Delta: 0
ROI: Loss
Notes:
Heart x Mind
Cost: 4M
3 Months: 4.5M
Delta: 500k
ROI: 12.5%
Notes:
Maximillian the Snowdog
Cost: 150k
3 Months: 75k
Delta: -75k
ROI: Loss
Notes: Went up to 300k for Christmas but has since sharply declined in price.
Princess Manner
Cost: 8M
3 Months: 4M
Delta: -4M
ROI: Loss
Notes: Item appears to have suffered from dumping in the third week of January. No obvious reason.
Lady Jane's Lace
Cost: 3.5M
3 Months: 1.7M
Delta: 1.8M
ROI: Loss
Notes:
Dice Bunny
Cost: 2.6M
3 Months: 2.6M
Delta: o
ROI: Stagnant
Notes:
Jekyll's Morality
Cost: 3.5M
3 Months: 3.1M
Delta: -400k
ROI: Loss
Notes:
Foxy Flag Gal
Cost: 110k
3 Months: 110k
Delta: 0
ROI: Stagnant
Notes: Sale had no significant effect on price at all either positive or negative.
Lady Chimes
Cost: 3.8M
3 Months: 3M
Delta: -800k
ROI: Loss
Notes:
Dullahan's Edge
Cost: 3M
3 Months 2.7M:
Delta: -300k
ROI: Loss
Notes:
Golden Dragon
Cost: 150k
3 Months: 110k
Delta: -40k
ROI: Loss
Notes:
Ashen
Cost: 9M
3 Months: 5.6M
Delta: -3.4M
ROI: Loss
Notes: The original (and similar-looking) Pale Marionette went from 14M to 8M during the sale and has since dropped to 7M. To illustrate that 'rarity' is the reason behind absurdly high prices.
Ultra Satan
Cost: 8.5M
3 Months: 4.5M
Delta: -4M
ROI: Loss
Notes: Subsequent releases of other Ultra Satan items do not seem to have impacted the price of the original.
SDPlus Gold Blind Box
Cost: 7.5M
3 Months: 7.8M
Delta: +300k
ROI: 4%
Notes: Sellability is incredibly low. Very few units have sold since the sale.
Bitter Bundle
Cost: 650k
Sinuous Ink: 180k
Aamira the Wanderer: 125k
Berry Mousse Royale: 80k
Item Worth: 385k
3 Months: 650k
Sinuous Ink: 200k
Aamira the Wanderer: 175k
Berry Mousse Royale: 80k
Item Worth: 455k
Delta: o
ROI: Stagnant
Notes: You would have been better off hoarding the bundle items than the Bundle itself unless you somehow scored it at the item cost (unlikely).
Aamira the Serene: No sales. Marketplace average is at 10M. Does not seem to have impacted bundle hoardability.
Sour Bundle
Cost: 650k
Stubborn Cryptodira: 190k
Glittering Carouser: 150k
Kiwi Chocolate Creme: 40k
Item Cost: 380k
3 Months: 1.3M
Stubborn Cryptodira: 190k
Glittering Carouser: 210k
Kiwi Chocolate Creme: 40k
Item Cost: 440k
Delta: 650k
ROI: 100%
Notes: Price has gone up substantially but that seems more likely the result of AI than hoardability given the price of the items it is guaranteed to contain and the low price of the 'rare' recolor.
Mellow Cryptodira: No sales. Marketplace average of 1.3M.
Spicy Bundle
Cost: 650k
Kiken Rider: 200k
Favored Heiress: 100k
Little Pink Derby Devil: 90k
Item Cost: 390k
3 Months: 750k
Kiken Rider: 260k
Favored Heiress: 110k
Little Pink Derby Devil: 100k
Item Cost: 470k
Delta: 100k
ROI: 15%
Notes: Hoarding the items would have netted a 20% return on investment.
Anzen Rider: No sales to speak over. Average MP price is a17M. Does not seem to have impacted bundle price.
Savory Bundle
Cost: 650k
Tamer of Blue Flames: 80k
Sweetheart Sweeper: 50k
Enchanted Meadows: 40k
3 Months: 930k
Tamer of Blue Flames: 115k
Sweetheart Sweeper: 100k
Enchanted Meadows: 40k
Delta: 280k
ROI: 43%
Notes: By hoarding the items you would have made a 50% return.
Cruel Cleaner: No sales. No average price. Seems to have had little impact on the bundle price.
Sweet Bundle
Cost: 700k
Dainty Damsel: 200k
Wintry Kisses: 200k
Island Sherbert: 100k
3 Months: 1.7M
Dainty Damsel: 280k
Wintry Kisses: 145k
Island Sherbert: 190k
Delta: 1M
ROI: 143%
Notes: It is unclear whether Minty Kisses impacted the price of the bundle or if it is due more to market manipulation.
Minty Kisses: No sales. Average and LMP at 9M. May have impacted the price of the bundle but evidence is not significant at this point.
Creamy Bundle
Cost: 700k
Fanciful Light Charmer: 200k
Sigrdrifa's Prayer: 100k
Fay Cervidae: 100k
3 Months: 1.25M
Fanciful Light Charmer: 320k
Sigrdrifa's Prayer: 120k
Fay Cervidae: 115k
Delta: 550k
ROI: 78.5%
Notes: Apparent AI of the recolor may have impacted the price of the bundle but considering the very high LMP prices in the days following the end of the sale this may also be due to manipulation of the bundle itself.
Blushing Light Charmer: Has had MP sales from 5M to 20M in the last month. Apparent AI of this item seems to have impacted the price of the bundle.
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Maybe It Isn't the Truth
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